Alain Guillot

Life, Leadership, and Money Matters

The European vs. the U.S. Stock Market in 2025

Why the U.S. Stock Market Is Crushing Europe in 2024

The different performance between the European and U.S. stock market.

Over the past 12 months, the U.S. stock market, as represented by the S&P 500, has increased more than 30%, demonstrating great economic momentum and investor confidence. On the other hand, the European market has lagged significantly, with the iShares STOXX Europe 600 ETF (IEUR) seeing a much more modest increase of about 7%. This disparity highlights underlying differences in business environments and economic policies on both sides of the Atlantic.

One of the critical factors contributing to this performance gap is the regulatory and taxation landscape in Europe, particularly the U.K. Business creation in the U.K. has recently fallen to its lowest point in 13 years, a signal that entrepreneurs and innovators are facing significant hurdles. High corporate taxes (25%), stringent regulations (labor laws, environmental laws), and economic uncertainty have stifled new ventures and investment, further slowing growth.

In contrast, the U.S. has maintained its appeal as a more entrepreneur-friendly arena. Lower taxes (21%), flexible regulations, and a strong support ecosystem for startups have encouraged innovation and business formation. This welcoming climate draws not only domestic entrepreneurs but also international innovators seeking a more dynamic environment for their ventures. People come from all over the world to start businesses in the U.S., and investors come from all over the world to invest in the U.S.)

The divergence in business growth is reflective of broader macroeconomic trends. While Europe grapples with economic sluggishness, compounded by post-Brexit complexities and fiscal challenges, the U.S. benefits from a strong market culture that prizes risk-taking and supports rapid scalability.

Investors and economic analysts continue to take note of these differences as they project future market behavior and potential investment strategies. Without significant policy shifts in Europe to support startups and reduce tax burdens, the continent may continue to see slow growth compared to the U.S., where the business landscape remains conducive to innovation and expansion.

https://twitter.com/FT/status/1858581153583652945

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